#UCLfantasy Matchday 5: What the numbers say
Predicting which Fantasy players are going to perform on a given matchday is a difficult task. Through crunching the numbers, a projected points total for each player has been calculated based on the player’s historical performance in the UEFA Champions League. Goals, assists, clean sheets and the likelihood of playing are the major parameters used in our projections.
The top projected players for each position for Matchday 5 are given below. As ever, check team news before making your final selections.
|Fernando Muslera||4.5||Galatasaray||Club Brugge||H||Tuesday||6.5|
|Marc-André ter Stegen||6.0||Barcelona||Dortmund||H||Wednesday||6.1|
|Manuel Neuer||6.0||Bayern||Crvena zvezda||A||Tuesday||6.0|
A good range of values are represented here as, alongside two €6.0m options, there are also two €4.5m choices. Paris goalkeeper Keylor Navas (€5.5m) is still yet to concede in the UEFA Champions League this season, with the French champions the only side in the competition to boast such a record. Manuel Neuer (€6.0m) also stands out as Bayern have an excellent defensive record in this season’s UEFA Champions League having kept two clean sheets already, one of them against Matchday 5 opponents Crvena zvezda.
On the budget side, Fernando Muslera (€4.5m) is an excellent option as Galatasaray face Club Brugge on Matchday 5. The Belgian side have failed to score in three of their four group stage matches and Muslera kept a clean sheet when the two sides met on Matchday 1.
|Juan Bernat||5.6||Paris||Real Madrid||A||Tuesday||7.8|
|Thomas Meunier||5.7||Paris||Real Madrid||A||Tuesday||7.7|
|Thiago Silva||5.6||Paris||Real Madrid||A||Tuesday||7.5|
|Christian Luyindama||4.5||Galatasaray||Club Brugge||H||Tuesday||7.4|
|Presnel Kimpembe||5.6||Paris||Real Madrid||A||Tuesday||7.0|
|Joshua Kimmich||6.5||Bayern||Crvena zvezda||A||Tuesday||6.8|
|Mariano Ferreira||4.5||Galatasaray||Club Brugge||H||Tuesday||6.3|
The Paris back line again features strongly here as Juan Bernat (€5.6m), Thomas Meunier (€5.7m), Thiago Silva (€5.6m) or Presnel Kimpembe (€5.6m) have all returned six or more #UCLfantasy points on any UEFA Champions League match they have started this season, even with a game at Real Madrid to come.
Alongside the deluge from Paris are a number of highly recognisable #UCLfantasy assets alongside some differential options. Achraf Hakimi (€5.6m), Joshua Kimmich (€6.5m) and Nicolás Tagliafico (€5.2m) are all highly owned and for good reason – the trio have combined to score 100 points so far. Meanwhile, Galatasaray’s Christian Luyindama (€4.5m) and Mariano Ferreira (€4.5m) feature in very few #UCLfantasy squads and are worthy of consideration with an attractive home game.
|Raheem Sterling||11.1||Man City||Shakhtar||H||Tuesday||9.2|
Ángel Di María
|Serge Gnabry||8.1||Bayern||Crvena zvezda||A||Tuesday||7.7|
|Īlkay Gündoğan||6.1||Man City||Shakhtar||H||Tuesday||7.1|
Raheem Sterling (€11.1m) backed up his 22-point haul on Matchday 3 with a goal and eight more points in the fourth round of fixtures, so it’s little surprise that the algorithm is backing another stellar Fantasy performance from the Englishman.
After playing just 17 minutes against Matchday 5 opponents Olympiacos in the reverse fixture, Heung-Min Son (€9.5m) has been sensational since. From Matchdays 2 to 4, the South Korean scored five goals, provided one assist and accrued 37 #UCLfantasy points – an average of 12.3 per matchday.
There are few better budget-friendly options than Dinamo Zagreb’s Mislav Oršić (€6.2m). The Croatian side have only failed to score against Manchester City during this year’s UEFA Champions League campaign and beat Matchday 5 opponents Atalanta 4-0 in the reverse fixture back on matchday 1. Oršić scored a hat-trick in that encounters and only Sterling and Son have scored more goals from midfield than the Dinamo player.
Erling Braut Haaland
|Robert Lewandowski||10.6||Bayern||Crvena zvezda||A||Tuesday||8.2|
The current UEFA Champions League top scorer with seven goals, Erling Braut Haaland (€4.6m) just keeps finding the net. The 19-year-old faces Genk on Matchday 5, the side against whom he came to widespread prominence back on Matchday 1 when he bagged a hat-trick along with 14 #UCLfantasy points.
No team has scored more goals during this season’s group stage than Bayern. Robert Lewandowski (€10.6m) has been responsible for six of those and currently boasts the impressive record of having scored in each of the four matches played so far.
In contrast, Lionel Messi (€11.5m) has just one goal, one assist and 14 points after the opening four rounds of matches and is yet to find the net in either of Barcelona’s two home matches in the group. The last time Messi failed to find the net in over two consecutive home UEFA Champions League matches, however, was back in 2011.